Washington Post Real Estate editor and columnist Washington Post, United States - Dec 5, 2008 Welcome to Real Estate Live, an online discussion of the Washington area housing market with Post Real Estate editor Maryann Haggerty and columnist ...
Darkness and Light at GE Capital New York Times, United States - Mr. Hofmann said he thought GE Capital?s estimate for losses on its real estate portfolio was too rosy. His forecast is for losses of $6.8 billion in the ...EPA:GNE - AMS:GNEA
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Loan for Y site refinanced The Ann Arbor News - MLive.com, MI - First Ward Council Member Sandi Smith - a real estate broker and owner of Trillium Real Estate - did urge her colleagues to push ahead with planning for the ...
FirstFed saw loan risk early on Los Angeles Times, CA - The so-called option ARM gave customers the choice during an initial period of paying enough each month to retire the loan in 15 or 30 years, ...FED
Adjustable-Rate Mortgages Not as Crazy as They Sound TheStreet.com - Yet, ARMs are a valid option as a mortgage instrument for homebuyers who do their math properly. Provided you can afford the home you want to buy, ...
Shuffling of arms for A's San Francisco Chronicle, USA - "You'd have to take my left arm before you tell me I can't go out there." Meyer worked a 1-2-3 eighth Sunday, and Oakland manager Bob Geren called him one ...CPH:SANI B
Noose Tightens on Non-Conforming Loans Seeking Alpha, NY - Chase has made a business decision to suspend our Non-Agency Fixed and ARM (Amortizing and Interest-Only) Product offerings within the Wholesale Lending ...
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Introduction - JR Barth, JD Shilling - The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 1992 - Springer ... The subsidized home mortgage loans also adversely affect ... to choose adjustable-rate
mortgages (ARMs) that provide ... and Spellman develop an option pricing model ...
An Overview of the Option-Theoretic Pricing of Mortgages - JB Kau, DC Keenan - Journal of Housing Research, 1995 - fanniemaefoundation.org ... gain the house at any time by paying off the loan. ... It is a put option because the
borrower turns over ... The payment caps on an ARM can also be profitably thought ...
[PDF]ARMs and the Demand for Housing - JK Brueckner, JR Follain - Regional Science and Urban Economics, 1989 - business.uiuc.edu ... the end of 1987, an FHA or VA borrower in the sample could not have had the option
of choosing an ARM. Second, FHA and VA loans typically carry loan-to-value ...
An Option-Based Pricing Model of Private Mortgage Insurance JB Kau, DC Keenan, W Muller - Journal of Risk and Insurance, 1993 - JSTOR ... to determine whether a borrower qualifies for a loan. With teasers, an ARM's lower
first-year payment ... is not captured in any current options models, including ...
The Impact of Initial-Year Discounts on ARM Prepayments - RK Green, JD Shilling - Real Estate Economics, 1997 - questia.com ... 1995) argue that the choice of loan maturity permits ... that FRM borrowers will exercise
their options to prepay. ... adjustment periods, etc.) affect how ARM prepays ...
Teaser rates in conventional adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) markets - JF Houston, J Sa-Aadu, JD Shilling - The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 1991 - Springer ... This option is normally of little value since borrowers taking out ARMs in periods
of high interest can profit automatically on the loan from a drop in ...
"I want the low payments that are available on an option ARM, but I don't know what I should be looking for in shopping for one. Can you help?"Reluctantly, I don't much like the option ARM because of its complexity and hidden booby traps. However, some borrowers will ignore all warnings because they are mesmerized by the low initial monthly payment, calculated at rates as low as 1 percent. If you are going to take an option ARM anyway, knowing their major features may save you some grief. Here they are, in order of importance.
Margin: The option ARM adjusts the rate monthly. That means that the lovely looking 1 percent rate you saw in the ads holds for just one month. In month 2 and every subsequent month, the rate is set to equal the most recent value of the rate index plus a margin.
For example, assume your ARM uses MTA as the index and your margin is 3 percent. In May 2005, MTA was 2.633 percent. If your first month with this loan was May, in June your rate would jump from 1 percent to 5.633 percent.
The margin is fixed for the life of any one loan, but it varies widely between borrowers. This makes it feature number one on your shopping list. Further, if you don't shop the margin, the chances are good you won't even know what it is until the loan closes. Loan providers usually don't volunteer it, and it is not a required disclosure.
Maximum Rate: There are no rate adjustment caps on an option ARM. The only limit set on the rate is a maximum over the life of the contract. This makes the maximum rate feature number two on your shopping list. In today's market, look for a maximum of about 10 percent, but it can vary some from lender to lender.
The tradeoff between margin and maximum rate is a judgment call, but I would put it at about 2.5 to 1. If lender A offers a 3 percent margin and 10 percent maximum, for example, and lender B wants a 4 percent margin, I would look for a 7.5 percent maximum from B to make the deals roughly equivalent.
Index: Most option ARMs use one of 4 indexes selected because of their relative stability. These are called MTA, COFI, CODI and COSI.
There isn't a lot of difference between these indexes. Over the last 12 years, COFI and COSI have averaged 4 percent while MTA and CODI have averaged 4.2 percent. (These figures come from www.mortgage-x.com, which is an excellent source of information on ARM indexes). Hence, in comparing different option ARMs, you can add .2 percent to the margin on an MTA or CODI ARM to make them comparable to a COFI or COSI ARM.
Recast Period, Negative Amortization Cap, and Payment Shock: The great appeal of the option ARM is the low initial payment combined with the 7.5 percent cap on annual payment increases. The payment in the early years is not affected by interest rate changes, and in most cases does not cover the interest. The result is a rising balance, or "negative amortization."
However, a day of reckoning must come. Sooner or later, the payment must become fully amortizing – large enough to pay off the balance over the remaining term. This can happen smoothly by successive 7.5 percent annual payment increases, or suddenly when the loan reaches the recast month or hits a negative amortization cap.
On most option ARMs, the payment is recast every 5 years, though some recast every 10 years. On the recast date, the payment becomes fully amortizing, no matter how large an increase that may require.
Option ARMs also have a limit on how large negative amortization can go, ranging from 110 percent to 125 percent of the original loan amount. When the balance hits the cap, the payment is immediately raised to the fully amortizing level, no matter how large an increase that may require.
All other things the same, a longer recast period and higher negative amortization cap will delay a payment shock, and the shock will be somewhat smaller when it occurs. For example, in one of many tests I ran that are reported on my Web site, the payment on an ARM with 5-year recast rose by 7.5 percent for 4 years, and by 88 percent at recast. The same loan with a 10-year recast rose by 7.5 percent for 9 years, and then by 61 percent.
The bottom line is that a longer recast and higher negative amortization cap are desirable, but I would not accept a larger margin or higher maximum rate to get them.
The writer is Professor of Finance Emeritus at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. Comments and questions can be left at www.mtgprofessor.com.