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Recent News and Articles on the Keywords: 2008 presidential + new hampshire + 2008  Related to the article below (Last Update: 5/13/2008)


KPIC
Foreign Policy and the 2008 Presidential Nominating Campaigns
Council on Foreign Relations, NY -
Voters in nearly all US states participating in the 2008 party nominating races have placed economic concerns ahead of the war in Iraq and national security ...
RussiaToday
Unconventional wisdom reigns in presidential campaign San Jose Mercury News
History Gives Hope to Republicans Human Events
International Herald Tribune - Missouri Valley Times News
all 3,853 news articles »

MLive.com
Barack Obama, national media stumble over Michigan in 2008 election
MLive.com, MI - May 11, 2008
Obama and others like John Edwards pulled their names from the Michigan ballot to make a point to Iowa and New Hampshire voters. That was probably a mistake ...
New York.- By Catherine Tsounis
Greek News, New York -
During the 2008 New Hampshire Primary, Democratic leader Chris Spirou dominated the news for his dynamic support of Hillary Clinton. ...

The Associated Press
Clinton goes from inevitable nominee to on the ropes
The Associated Press - May 11, 2008
Clinton's fortunes rose and fell like a fever chart: She was down in Iowa, up in New Hampshire, down in South Carolina. Then, after a roughly even finish ...

Javno.hr
Obama Turns to the General Election
Washington Post, United States -
For McCain, that's Pennsylvania, Michigan, and New Hampshire. For Obama, it's Florida, Ohio, Colorado and Missouri. Which candidate fights this fall on his ...
AssociatedPress
Obama seeks superdelegates' support Charlotte Observer
Obama wins 2 more superdelegates; Clinton keeps campaigning Town Hall
all 2,815 news articles »
AHEAD OF THE TAPE
Wall Street Journal -
They also said there was a good chance Mr. Obama would top Hillary Clinton in January's New Hampshire primary, which she won. Economists have touted for ...
The Path to the 2008 Presidential Nomination
NewsBlaze, CA - May 9, 2008
The party punished Wyoming, New Hampshire, Michigan, Florida and South Carolina for scheduling their primaries before February 5. ...
Mccain'den Obama'ya Darbe Planı
G?ncel Haber, Turkey -
Main article: John McCain presidential campaign, 2008 John McCain officially announcing his 2008 run for President in Portsmouth, New Hampshire. ...
News Summary for May 8, 2008
NewsHour - May 9, 2008
Some in Washington wanted us to end our campaign, and then I won New Hampshire. Then we had huge victories on Super Tuesday. Then we won Ohio and Texas and ...
More Barr media
Third Party Watch -
This entry was posted by Stephen Gordon on Monday, May 12th, 2008 at 8:13 am and is filed under News, Libertarian Party, Presidential Race. ...
Source: Google News

Break Out the Mint Juleps?: Is New Hampshire the" Primary" Culprit Limiting Presidential Nomination … -
RE ADKINS, AJ DOWDLE - American Politics Research, 2000 - apr.sagepub.com
... at Google Indexer on February 23, 2008 http://apr.sagepub.com ... Is New Hampshire the
?Primary? Culprit Limiting Presidential Nomination Forecasts? ...

Is the Exhibition Season Becoming more Important to Forecasting Presidential Nominations? -
RE Adkins, AJ Dowdle - American Politics Research, 2001 - apr.sagepub.com
... TABLE 1 Ordinal Forecast for 2000 Presidential Nomination Cycle ... Place Season Model
New Hampshire Model Finish ... at Google Indexer on February 16, 2008 http://apr ...

Do Televised Presidential Ads Increase Voter Turnout? Evidence from a Natural Experiment
JS Krasno, DP Green - The Journal of Politics, 2008 - Cambridge Univ Press
... ? 2008 Southern Political Science Association ... of Pennsylvania), citizens in eight
counties in New Jersey were bombarded with 2,247 presidential ads in ...

The 2000 New Hampshire Democratic Primary and Network News -
SJ Farnsworth, SR Lichter - American Behavioral Scientist, 2003 - abs.sagepub.com
... at Google Indexer on February 29, 2008 http://abs.sagepub.com Downloaded from Page
13. ... The New Hampshire primary. Presidential Studies Quarterly, 14, 127-131. ...

The Jobs Model Forecast: Well Done in 2004
MS Lewis-Beck, C Tien - PS: Political Science and Politics, 2005 - Cambridge Univ Press
... have an uphill battle for the presi- dency in 2008. ... Introduction?The 2004 Presidential
Election Fore ... check, to APSA,and mailed to:1527 New Hampshire Avenue,NW ...

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES -
US SENATE - Special Recognition to the Achieve - apsanet.org
... Barack Obama (D-IL) 2008 Presidential Candidate. ... Copyright 2008 American Political
Science Association (APSA) 1527 New Hampshire Ave, NW Washington ...

Why HGo Public?? Presidential Use of Nominees to the US Courts of Appeals -
LM HOLMES - Presidential Studies Quarterly, 2008 - Blackwell Synergy
... this article: LISA M. HOLMES (2008) Why "Go ... a nominee to an election was President
Bush's statement ... candidate John Sununu in Manchester, New Hampshire in 2002 ...

Health Care Choice and Patient Satisfaction -
D Hunter, AR Reserved - Choice - edgeweb.heritage.org
... of Likely Voters in Iowa?s Presidential Party Caucuses & New Hampshire?s Presidential
Party Primaries ... 2008 The Heritage Foundation All Rights Reserved. ...

Media Coverage of Presidential Primaries
DS Castle - American Politics Research, 1991 - apr.sagepub.com
... Presidential nomination campaigns are conducted so as to influence ... Google Indexer
on April 7, 2008 http://apr ... New Hampshire (Castle 1987; Stanley and Hadley 1987 ...

The Role of Media Coverage of Iowa and New Hampshire in the 1988 Democratic Nomination
CF Ridout - American Politics Research, 1991 - apr.sagepub.com
... use or unauthorized at Google Indexer on April 4, 2008 http://apr ... Media coverage
of Iowa and New Hampshire has traditionally played a ... presidential nominations. ...

Source: Google Scholar
Early Voters Hold Most Power in Primaries, Say Brown Economists

As voters in Iowa and New Hampshire prepare to head to the polls for the 2008 presidential primary season, new research by two Brown University economists shows just how much power these early voters hold. In a National Bureau of Economic Research working paper, Brian Knight and Nathan Schiff demonstrate that early voters have up to 20 times the influence of voters in later states when it comes to candidate selection.

PROVIDENCE, R.I. [Brown University] — Two Brown University economists have, for the first time, quantified the substantial effects of winning early in the race for the presidential nomination. In a National Bureau of Economic Research working paper, Brian Knight and graduate student Nathan Schiff demonstrate that voters in early primary states such as Iowa and New Hampshire have up to 20 times the influence of voters in later states in the selection of candidates.

Knight and Schiff developed a statistical model that examines how daily polling data responds to returns from presidential primaries. In the model, candidates can benefit from momentum effects when their performance in early states exceeds expectations. For example, Knight and Schiff found that in 2004, John Kerry benefited from surprising wins in early states and took votes away from Howard Dean, who held a strong lead prior to the beginning of the primary season. According to their research, Schiff and Knight predict that if states other than Iowa and New Hampshire had voted first in 2004, the Democratic nominee may have been John Edwards, rather than John Kerry.

“Clearly, the primary calendar plays a key role in the selection of the nominee,” said Knight, associate professor of economics and public policy. “Evidence that early voters have a disproportionate influence over the selection of candidates violates “one person-one vote” – a democratic ideal on which our nation is based. The implications go even further, since populations of states such as Iowa and New Hampshire are not exactly representative of the nation in terms of diversity.”

Knight and Schiff also simulate the 2004 primary as a simultaneous national primary, which they predict would have been much tighter than Kerry’s landslide victory, due to the absence of momentum effects. “While Kerry would have won a plurality of delegates, he would not have won a majority and thus the eventual nominee may have been decided at the convention,” they theorize.

With 23 states voting on Feb. 5, 2008, the primary calendar is starting to resemble a simultaneous primary, and the researchers thus predict that the race for the 2008 nomination will be much tighter than Kerry’s 2004 victory.

They also say that current polls may be of limited value in predicting the 2008 nominee – that is, a candidate emerging from Iowa or New Hampshire with a surprising victory may ultimately win the nomination. Schiff attributes that possibility to “social learning.”

“Our research suggests that voters in states that vote toward the end of the primary season place more weight on returns from the earliest states than on the states voting right before their own,” said Schiff, a graduate student in economics at Brown and co-author of the paper. “This further increases the influence early states like Iowa and New Hampshire have over the entire primary process.”

Editors: Brown University has a fiber link television studio available for domestic and international live and taped interviews, and maintains an ISDN line for radio interviews. For more information, call (401) 863-2476.
 
 
 
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